Although unlikely to impact your hedge program we wanted to highlight that some of the regressions are failing from 5/22/20 to 6/4/20

Please see below for the specifics.


5/22/20-5/28/20

USD-ITV Forwards

  • USD/PHP (USD functional): failed some of the 2 month, 3 month, 6 month, 1 year and 2 year lags
  • USD/PHP OffMkt (USD functional): failed some of the 2 month, 3 month and 6 month lags
  • USD/TRY (USD functional): failed some of the 6 month, 1 year and 2 year lags

 XCURR-ITV Forwards

  • EUR/PLN (EUR functional): failed some of the 2 year and 3 year lags
  • EUR/RON (EUR functional): failed some of the 1 month, 6 month, 1 year and 2 year lags
  • JPY/CHF (JPY functional): failed some of the 3 month and 6 month lags

5/29/20-6/4/20

USD-ITV Forwards

  • USD/PHP (USD functional): failed some of the 2 month, 3 month, 6 month, 1 year and 2 year lags
  • USD/PHP OffMkt (USD functional): failed some of the 2 month, 3 month and 6 month lags
  • USD/TRY (USD functional): failed some of the 3 month, 6 month, 1 year and 2 year lags

 XCURR-ITV Forwards

  • EUR/PLN (EUR functional): failed some of the 3 year lags
  • EUR/RON (EUR functional): failed some of the 1 month, 6 month, 1 year and 2 year lags
  • JPY/CHF (JPY functional): failed some of the 3 month and 6 month lags

It is very unusual to have such a large lag between derivatives and exposure expected dates. However, if you have any hedge relationships that have failed effectiveness you will need to dedesignate those hedge relationships at the last effective date (prior period).  If you have any other relationships with a two or three year lag, please contact your Hedge Trackers consultant to discuss the risks of failing slope.